Bodak's Picks Week 1

By: HokieV on August 28, 2012, 12:59 PM | 2 comments

Follow-up to this post.

I have launched a site to publish weekly predictions and rankings (when I start them). The site is www.bodakspicks.com. (It's named in honor of a friend of mine who recently died rather suddenly.) I also fired up a Twitter account associated with the site.

I did some more analysis of the simulation I did of 2011 and found that it performed a tick over 60% against the spread. I don't expect it to do that well this year until October or maybe November, as I'll need the stats associated with the 2012 teams to settle in.

That said, I went ahead and ran predictions for the week 1 games not involving FCS schools using 2011 stats. The results are below, but I'm not putting much stock in them.

Predicted winners are in bold, with their winning margins in square brackets.

Date	Teams	Notes
2012-08-30	Central Florida [30] @ Akron
2012-08-30	Eastern Michigan [3] @ Ball State
2012-08-30	Washington State @ Brigham Young [18]
2012-08-30	Texas A&M @ Louisiana Tech [3]
2012-08-30	Minnesota [5] @ Nevada-Las Vegas
2012-08-30	UCLA @ Rice [4]
2012-08-30	South Carolina [4] @ Vanderbilt
2012-08-31	Boise State [8] @ Michigan State
2012-08-31	San Jose State @ Stanford [31]
2012-08-31	North Carolina State [4] vs. Tennessee	Atlanta GA
2012-09-01	Troy [1] @ Alabama-Birmingham
2012-09-01	Toledo [9] @ Arizona
2012-09-01	Clemson [3] vs. Auburn	Atlanta GA
2012-09-01	Miami (FL) [9] @ Boston College
2012-09-01	Nevada @ California [2]
2012-09-01	Colorado vs. Colorado State [11]	Denver CO
2012-09-01	Florida International [10] @ Duke
2012-09-01	Bowling Green State @ Florida [11]
2012-09-01	Buffalo @ Georgia [24]
2012-09-01	Western Michigan @ Illinois [2]
2012-09-01	Tulsa [10] @ Iowa State
2012-09-01	North Texas @ LSU [33]
2012-09-01	Alabama [9] vs. Michigan	Arlington TX
2012-09-01	Notre Dame [5] vs. Navy	Dublin Ireland
2012-09-01	Southern Mississippi [7] @ Nebraska
2012-09-01	Iowa vs. Northern Illinois [8]	Chicago IL
2012-09-01	Miami (OH) @ Ohio State [8]
2012-09-01	Arkansas State @ Oregon [13]
2012-09-01	Ohio [3] @ Penn State
2012-09-01	Hawaii @ Southern California [16]
2012-09-01	Northwestern [2] @ Syracuse
2012-09-01	Wyoming @ Texas [12]
2012-09-01	Oklahoma [16] @ Texas-El Paso
2012-09-01	Rutgers [20] @ Tulane
2012-09-01	San Diego State [2] @ Washington
2012-09-01	Marshall @ West Virginia [21]
2012-09-02	Southern Methodist @ Baylor [9]
2012-09-02	Kentucky @ Louisville [14]
2012-09-03	Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech [7]

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Comments

757Hokey | 12 years 5 months #

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InEnemyTerritory

PIE!

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| 12 years 5 months #

Wife isn't gonna be happy

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