I was looking at Virginia Tech's FPI win probabilities for each game in 2016 (via ESPN) and thought it might be fun to track as the season progresses. Who doesn't like over-analyzing data between games? I'll try to update my spreadsheet weekly, but may need a reminder along the way.
In 2015, the FPI was 78 percent accurate in FBS-FBS games.
I thought some of the numbers were interesting and it seemed like the FPI gave Tech little chance to win the marquee ACC games this year, namely UNC and Pitt. I felt like the Hokies could take one of these games. Going purely off of the percentages, FPI predicts Tech to win 5 games (really, Syracuse?) which is lower than what myself and most others expect (I'm predicting 7, maybe 8 regular season wins if we can steal a game or two).
Discuss, complain, etc. I apologize for the legend colors - my eyes' rods and cones don't work the same way as "normal" peoples', but I tried to get things close to school colors for ease.
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