I am going to stand up again with my theory that close games are more entertaining. So i have looked at conference games through week 8 of this season and again the ACC has the most 1 score games (note I am counting ND vs ACC team as ACC game).
The Big Ten is the worst to watch as it is almost 50% blowouts.
The Big 12 seems more boom or bust with 1 score and 3+ score games being almost equal.
The SEC does well and has had a number of great games the past couple of weeks
One note is that week 7 is the only week with more 1 score conference games than 2+ score conference games. Before week 5 there aren't a ton of conference games so this might change. The SEC really had a great week going 4, 1, and 1 with 1, 2, and 3+ score games
Another note is that Clemson has 4 of the 3 score games and was a 16 point win over FSU in their other ACC game. VT, SMU, and ND each have two 3+ score wins. All four of those ACC teams recorded a three plus score game in week 8. I think this doesn't speak highly of Miami as they have not had a 3+ score game yet as they have played in 3 ACC games with all 3 being 1 score games. This includes Cal who has lost to FSU and NC State and could easily go winless in the ACC. They have a chance with FSU next week, but rivalry games are tricky.
Conference | total | 1 Score | 2 Score | 3+ Score | 1 Score % | 2 Score % | 3+ Score % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ACC | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 51.43% | 20.00% | 28.57% |
B12 | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 42.86% | 17.14% | 40.00% |
B1G | 36 | 13 | 6 | 17 | 36.11% | 16.67% | 47.22% |
SEC | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 44.12% | 23.53% | 32.35% |
I do realize that not all 1 score games are equal and late scores make a difference in the game, however I believe in a large enough sample size that noise is removed because you have blowouts that are closer because teams score in garbage time and you have close games that get blown open late. Overall close scores are the more entertaining games to watch.
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