The 16-8, 7-6 Ladies travel to Chapel Hill today to take on #12 UNC 21-4, 9-3. The game is an ACC Network extra broadcast. UNC is 11.5 point favorite with the over/under at 134.5; the Matchup Predictor gives the Hokies an 18.5% chance.
UNCs four losses are all to ranked teams: #7 UConn, #19 GA Tech, #2 Notre Dame, and #23 FSU. They have wins over #8 Kentucky, #13 Duke in OT and RV Cal. For comparison, we beat GA Tech and lost to Duke, Notre Dame and FSU. In other common opponents, all of which UNC beat, we beat Miami, Pitt, and Wake Forest.
UNCs starting line up will be 2 grad students, a senior, a junior and a sophomore. No 1 6'1" grad G/F Alyssa Ustby is their leading scorer and rebounder at 11.4 points and 9.5 boards per game. No. 5 6'3" senior F/C Maria Gakdeng is second in scoring and rebounding with 11 and 7. No. 20 6'0" grad guard Lexi Donarski is third in scoring and the primary threat from beyond the arc; she shoots 42% overall and 40% from three. 65% of her shots are from three. No. 10 5'7" sophomore guard Raniya Kelly and no.24 5'10" junior guard Indya Nivar round out the starting five.
UNC shoots 43% overall. 34% from three and scores 72.4 ppg. They hold their opponents to 39%, 28% and 55 ppg. Barring foul problems, their starters will play 22-29 minutes. They have had 5 players foul out; Ustby once, Gakdeng twice and Nivar twice. They don't turn the ball over much, only 12.7 per game; but they have caused 18.1 per game. The Hokies are going to have to be careful with the ball tonight.
The Ladies are going to face a challenge tonight. The Tar Heels have three girls that shoot the three well and Gakdeng playing in the paint. Perimeter defense is going to be key. Winning is not out of the question; but they are going to have to play very well to stay with the Tar Heels. Again offense will not be the limiting factor for the Ladies; lapses on defense will cost us the game. I could not find anything about Micheaux; but they have looked pretty good using Peterson and Ramiya at center. It would nice to be surprised by a win tonight.
LET'S GO HOKIES!
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